This is my final ballot for Sunday’s Oscars.

And we start off with the hardest pick:

1. Best Picture
Will win: Last year, I risked it all on Boyhood (and lost my pool). I’m staying safe this year with The Revenant.
Should win: Holding out hope that Spotlight pulls it off. That and Mad Max are my favorites of this line-up.

2. Director
Will win: Alejandro G. Iñárritu, The Revenant
Should win: George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road

3. Actor
Will win: Just give it to Leo already. Get it over with.
Should win: I admit it, Leo gave one of his better performances in The Revenant. Fassbender was fine, but the other three (Damon, Redmayne, or Cranston) didn’t really deserve their nominations.

4. Actress
Will win: Brie Larson, Room
Should win: Saoirse Ronan in Brooklyn is the performance that sticks with me. Larson, Blanchett, Rampling were also stellar.

5. Supporting Actor
Will win: Sylvester Stallone, Creed
Should win: Since Idris Elba (Beasts of No Nation) didn’t make the cut, my vote goes to Christian Bale, The Big Short.

6. Supporting Actress
Will win: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Should win: If we’re talking actual supporting performances, Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs) was a delight. Vikander and Rooney Mara (Carol) are both fantastic in the wrong category.

7. Original Screenplay
Will win: Josh Singer and Tom McCarthy, Spotlight
Should win: Josh Singer and Tom McCarthy, Spotlight

8. Adapted Screenplay
Will win: Charles Randolph and Adam McKay, The Big Short
Should win: Phyllis Nagy, Carol

9. Foreign Language Film
Will win: Son of Saul

10. Animated Feature
Will win: Inside Out

11. Documentary
Will win: Amy

12. Original Score
Will win: Ennio Morricone, The Hateful Eight
Should win: Ennio Morricone, The Hateful Eight (I’m a sucker for classic Hollywood composition.)

13. Original Song
Will win: Lady Gaga and Diane Warren, “Til It Happens to You” (The Hunting Ground)

TECHNICAL
14. Cinematography
Will win: The Revenant
Should win: The Revenant

15. Editing
Will win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Should win: Mad Max: Fury Road 

16. Costume Design
Will win: Carol

17. Makeup & Hairstyling
Will win: Mad Max: Fury Road

18. Production Design
Will win: Mad Max: Fury Road  

19. Sound Editing
Will win: Mad Max: Fury Road

20. Sound Mixing
Will win: Mad Max: Fury Road

21. Visual Effects
Will win: Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Why not? They can’t give it to Mad Max for everything, can they?)

SHORTS
22. Animated Short
Will win: World of Tomorrow

23. Live-Action Short
Will win: Everything Will Be Okay

24. Documentary Short
Will win: Claude Lanzmann: Spectres of the Shoah (Anything Holocaust has a good shot.)