Check out the full list at http://oscar.go.com/nominees. I bravely offered my own picks in categories where I’ve seen enough nominees.  (Post-Oscars update: 24/26 categories right!)

1. Best Picture

Will win: 12 Years a Slave

Should win: 12 Years a Slave

2. Best Director

Will win: Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity

Should win: Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave

3. Best Actor

Will win: Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club

Should win: Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave

4. Best Actress

Will win: Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine

Should win: Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine

5. Best Supporting Actor

Will win: Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

Should win: Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips

6. Best Supporting Actress

Will win: Tough call. I’m 51% sure of Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave.

Should win: Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave

7. Best Original Screenplay

Will win: Another tough call! American Hustle?  (The Oscar went to HER, and rightly so!)

Should win: Her

8. Best Adapted Screenplay

Will win: 12 Years a Slave

Should win: Before Midnight

9. Best Foreign Film

Will win: The Great Beauty

10. Best Animated Feature

Will win: Frozen

11. Best Documentary

Will win: 20 Feet from Stardom

12. Best Original Score

Will win: Steven Price, Gravity

Should win: William Butler and Owen Pallett, Her

13. Best Original Song

Will win: “Let It Go,” Frozen

Should win: I hate this category. Every year, I ask the Oscar gods to get rid of it.

 

TECHNICAL

14. Best Cinematography

Will win: Gravity

Should win: Gravity

15. Best Costume Design

Will win: The Great Gatsby

Should win: American Hustle

16. Best Editing

Will win: Gravity

Should win: 12 Years a Slave (I’m a sucker for Steve McQueen’s long, deliberate takes.)

17. Best Makeup & Hairstyling

Will win: Dallas Buyers Club

Should win: American Hustle (How was that hair not nominated?)

18. Best Production Design

Will win: Gravity

Should win: Her

19. Best Sound Editing

Will win: Gravity

20. Best Sound Mixing

Will win: Gravity

21. Best Visual Effects

Will win: Gravity

 

SHORTS

22. Best Animated Short

Will win: Get a Horse!  (The Oscar went to MR HUBLOT.)

23. Best Live-Action Short

Will win: Helium

24. Best Documentary Short

Will win: The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life